NFL Thanksgiving odds how to watch streaming Expert selections best bets teasers survivor picks and more

NFL Thanksgiving odds how to watch streaming Expert selections best bets teasers survivor picks and more

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How about a little football to go alongside your Thanksgiving dinner? The NFL has a triple-header on deck for the Thursday holiday and features a number of playoff hopefuls and Super Bowl threats. In fact, the .650 win percentage between these teams is the since the league expanded to three games on Thanksgiving. Five of the six teams playing on Thanksgiving also own a winning record, which ties a league-high. As we do every week for the entire slate, we've collected all of the best Thanksgiving picks and gambling content from CBSSports.com and SportsLine and put them all in one place, so you can get picks against the spread from our CBS Sports experts as well as additional featured content for each game, including plays from top SportsLine experts and the SportsLine Projection Model, best bets from our staff, survivor picks and more.Time:Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on Paramount+ ()Open:Bills -10Current:Bills -9.5 "This has the makings of a game with a lot of offense. Both teams can score, but the Bills can really score. They will put up a big number here as Josh Allen wins a second straight game in Detroit after beating thelast week in the same building. The track is fast and the Bills can fly. The Lions won't keep up." --- , has the Bills covering the 9.5-point spread and has this game going well over the 54.5 total."The Lions have been rolling the past few weeks, but I just have a hard time betting againstwith this line under double figures. Yes, Detroit's defense has played better in its previous three games, but that was against the,and . Buffalo's offense is a different animal entirely. Allen has historically played well on Thanksgiving Alejandro Villanueva Jersey as the Bills are 2-0 SU in both games and the QB registered a 100+ pa ser rating in each contest. While I believe Buffalo's offense can get into the 30s indoors at Ford Field, I don't see the Lions doing that in this setting. Specifically, I have my doubts because of the protection in front of. Detroit grades as the 24th-ranked pa s-blocking team in the NFL this season, according to Pro Football Focus. Meanwhile, Buffalo is the third-best pa s rush team in the league under the same grading system." -- on why he is taking the Bills -9.5 as one of his best bets for Week 12."Allen has actually cro sed this line just once over the last four games, but I think he hits the Over here against a bad defense. The star quarterback is averaging a career-high 293 pa sing yards per game this season." -- on why is likes to go OVER his 281.5 pa sing yards prop at -127. "On paper, this feels like a game that the Lions have zero chance to win, but if I've learned one thing in my life about picking, it's that teams always seem to win when you think they have zero chance to win, especially when they're coached by a guy who's most famous quote involves biting kneecaps off. I have no idea what Dan Campbell eats at his house on Thanksgiving Day, but there's a 50% chance it's kneecaps."The big problem in this game for the Lions is that they have one of the worst defenses in the NFL this year and they'll be playing a Bills offense that has been one of the best. The Lions have given up the most yards per game and the most points per game and that's definitely not a good combination when the team you're playing ranks second in both points scored and yards per game."If this game had been played four weeks ago, I'd probably have picked the Bills by 30, but the Lions are suddenly one of the hottest teams in football. If you combine that with the fact that the Bills have been in a slight offensive rut, that's the recipe for a game that could go down to the wire. I told you we'd talk about recipes." -- on why he is picking the Bills to narrowly beat the Lions, 30-27. Pete Prisco Jason La Canfora Will Brinson Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson John Breech Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg Bills (-9.5) at Lions Time:Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET (Fox), stream on fuboTV ()Open:Cowboys -7Current:Cowboys -9"This has the makings of a Cowboys rout, almost in identical fashion to Dallas' 40-3 win over Minnesota just a few days ago. New York showed some cracks in its foundation in the lo s to Detroit and lost several key contributors, including top cornerback. That should allow the Cowboys offense to continue to hum, but it's their defense that could really put the game away. The Giants are allowing the second-highest pre sure rate (45%) in thethis season, while the Cowboys are applying the most pre sure to opposing quarterbacks in the league. In Week 3, Dallas pre sured27 times in the win, which is the third-most of any game this season. With the Giants as banged up as they are and Dallas playing at a championship-caliber level, they'll win this by double digits." -- on why he is taking Dallas to cover against New York as one of his five locks of the week.The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, enters Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-109 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Now, the model is eyeing a six-leg Thanksgiving parlay that would pay nearly 50-1. One of those legs is the Over 45-point total in the Cowboys-Giants game. As for the rest of it, . "When these two teams met back in Week 3, thewon 23-16 and that was with. In that game, the Cowboys sackedfive times and picked him off once and I think we're going to see more of the same on Thursday. The Cowboys have won 10 of the past 11 games in this series and I don't see that domination ending this week."This is the first time these two teams have played on Thanksgiving since 1992. Thirty years ago, the Cowboys destroyed the Giants 30-3 J.J. Wilcox Jersey and then went on to win thetwo months later. I'm not saying that's going to happen this year, but I'm not not saying that." --- on why he likes the Cowboys to trounce the Giants, 31-17."The Giants are coming off of a horrible showing at home against the Lions, which means they might have been looking ahead to this one. The Cowboys righted things in their blowout victory over the. The defense dominated, and it will dominate here as well. The Giants are too limited on offense." --says the Cowboys defense will once again lead them to victory. Pete Prisco Jason La Canfora Will Brinson Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson John Breech Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg Giants at Cowboys (-10) Time:Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC), stream on fuboTV ()Open: -3.5Current:Vikings -3The SportsLine Projection Model has simmulated the NFL Thanksgiving Day games 10,000 times and examining the dozens of player props from Caesars Sportsbook. We can tell you the model says Vikings WR Jefferson goes Over 88.5 receiving yards (-117), with the model projecting he finishes with 99 on average. However, the model also says that another star flies over his yardage total and offers one prop witha plus-money payout. To see what those are, ."Now, this is the most intriguing Thanksgiving game to me. The last time the played on Thanksgiving, they beat the49-19 in the "Butt Fumble" matchup. Speaking of beating the , that's what the Patriots did last week on an 84-yard punt return touchdown with just five seconds left in the fourth quarter. They looked like the better team all afternoon, but it took them an incredibly long time to prove it. I thoughtwas OK. He completed 23 of 27 pa ses for 246 yards, which is the highest completion percentage Jones has had this season (85.2%). Wind played a part in this matchup, but the defense was outstanding. They sackedfour times and allowed just 103 yards of total offense! Inin the AFC, I actually have the Patriots at No. 2. They could go on a second-half run -- just like they did last year. "As for the Vikings, yeah, that 40-3 lo s to the Cowboys is going to take some time to get over. Still, they can take a page out of the Cowboys' book and force everyone to forget about it with a dominant win on Thanksgiving. Even withand, I can't help but be impre sed by New England's defense. This unit has allowed just 7.7 points per game over the past three contests, and is allowing a 19 percent conversion rate on third downs during that same span. The Patriots own the second-highest pre sure rate in the NFL this season, while the Vikings allow the fifth-highest pre sure rate. I will say that out of the three Thanksgiving contests, I'm the least confident on this one when it comes to picking a side. I'll take the Patriots to surprise here, and I like the Over." -- is smelling an upset in Minnesota as the Patriots SU beat the Vikings in the Thanksgiving finale while also hitting the Over.R.J. White, a Fantasy and gambling editor for CBS Sports, consistently crushes as SportsLine's No. 1 NFL expert. On top of owning a 445-378-24 on his ATS picks from 2017-21, he has been particularly sharp when it comes to the Vikings. On hi slast 84 picks involving Minnesota, White has gone 52-28-4 (+$2,053), so you'll certainly want to know where he's leaning on Thursday night. To see that pick, ."The Vikings were embarra sed Sunday at home, getting blown out by the Cowboys. They will bounce back and play better here. The New England offense is struggling, but the defense is playing well. Even so, I think the Vikings will respond on offense in this one to win it. The Patriots offense is bad." -- on why he is taking the Vikings to beat New England by 10 in the Thanksgiving finale. Pete Prisco Jason La Canfora Will Brinson Le'Veon Bell Jersey Jared Dubin Ryan Wilson John Breech Dave Richard Jamey Eisenberg Patriots at Vikings (-2.5)
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